LeftOfNormal wrote:jay0582 wrote:LeftOfNormal wrote:
I disagree that it's not even close.
Calvin Johnson put up 254 fantasy points in standard scoring last year to McCoy's 270 and Ray Rice's 283. McFadden missed 9 games and put up 100. There are no convincing reasons why Julio can't reach the level of productivity that Calvin Johnson did last year, and even if he doesn't, he should easily outproduce McFadden if he misses a lot of time. Like I said above, this is a pure bet against Darren McFadden's health. I've got 1 league buy-in on him staying healthy most of this season, but taking the opposite view is 100% defensible.
There is no convincing reason why Julio can't reach Megatrons level of production from last year??? So you are already penciling in Julio Jones for 1681 yards and 16 td's?? I'll take the under on both and give you 2 to 1 odds. Julio could easily have numbers like 1200 yards and 12 tds, but i dont see 1700 and 16
Yes, there is no convincing reason why Julio Jones can't reach Calvin Johnson's level of production from last year. You are mistaken if you think that statement means I'm "penciling him in" for 1681 and 16tds. We're talking ceilings here. I'm saying Julio Jones's ceiling is '11 Megatron. I'm also saying Julio's floor is better than an injury-ridden season from McFadden which, again, is why I think this trade is justifiable as a pure bet against McFadden's health. I do agree with you that the OP should expect another player to be packaged with Julio.
good point i suppose.... you seem to understand game theory and apply it to fantasy football ( It should be applied to most things) Are you a fellow poker player like myself? If not you would probably be pretty good at it haha.