Rushing plays can go in one of five directions: Left (outside numbers), Left, Center, Right and Right (outside numbers). For the season, the Bengals have been most productive when running to the center or left, gaining 311 of their 440 total rushing yards in those two rush zones. This week, that becomes very problematic, as the Dolphins are clearly the best team in the NFL in defending those types of runs as they have only allowed 28 yards per game on runs to those areas.
As the Bengals' 311 yards in these rush areas are 30 percent more than the average team's rushes into these zones, it's not irresponsible to project them to over-perform compared to the Dolphins' previous opponents. However, even if you are super aggressive and project the Bengals to almost double the total yardage in these rush areas, the most optimistic projections for Green-Ellis should only project 70 total yards for this week. Based on these expectations, in order for you to want him as a starting running back this week, you'll have to be hoping for a rushing touchdown. The only player to score a rushing touchdown against the Dolphins this year is Arian Foster. Green-Ellis is no Foster, so beware.
I think playing BenJarvus is settling for a safe few points and nothing more. If it were me, I would: First, take a chance on Mendenhall. Second, Greene. Third, Battle.
I would say Mendenhall here but no one knows how he's gonna look out there. And yes Battle has had some good games but I think with Mathews back those days are over for now. So im going to say BJGE this one. No its not a great matchup but its the right way to go and hope he can get a goalline carry in the endzone.
10Man Standard Scoring QB-MATT RYAN RB-ADRIAN PETERSON, Fred Jackson, Reggie Bush, Chris Johnson, Maurice Jones-Drew, Ahmad Bradshaw WR-CALVIN JOHNSON, MIKE WALLACE, Roddy White, Denarius Moore TE-VERNON DAVIS, Owen Daniels K-Shayne Graham DEF-HOU