by broseph jacobs » Sun Nov 18, 2012 10:34 am
It's Felix, but it's not a sure thing. I agree that BJE could see a lot of carries because they'll be ahead. But I don't TOTALLY agree with that. Don't underestimate the power of the 12th man at Arrowhead. I hope I'm wrong, but it could be a tough going for Dalton and the cats in that stadium today (although I hope Green catches 3 TD's). Also, don't make a classic mistake where people assume ALL of Chiefs are garbage because they can't win games and their passing game is a joke. Their defense isn't that terrible at all, actually.
Felix has been hot lately, but I think it's a bit skewed: last week I told everyone to start Felix against PHI. For some reason he goes off every time against that team, and he did it again last week (93yd + 1 TD). I don't think that production remains that high. However, he will get the start over Murray (Murray won't be back in my opinion).
In terms of fantasy, KC is just a SLIGHTLY better run defense (they allow an average of 19.68 points per game on the ground, as compared with CLE's 19.71). Pretty much the same.
But look at the eyeball test. Felix is running with a purpose. Law Firm has looked inconvenienced by his job all year. He's not running with anger at all. At this point, Felix is the better back. And against like run D's, I take him. Keep in mind DAL will be in the same position at CIN: winning comfortably. Both will get clock-killing carries. I roll with Felix this week. Good luck!
- broseph
Standard Format: Aaron Rodgers, Josh Freeman; Doug Martin, Jamaal Charles, Maurice Jones-Drew, Vick Ballard, Pierre Thomas; AJ Green, Demaryius Thomas, Eric Decker, Stevie Johnson; Jason Witten, Vernon Davis; Stephen Gostkowski; Chicago