Definitely Matt Stafford. I was sold on top 5 QB and Gronk or Graham as the winning formula. Stafford bounced back, but I had him miles ahead of Matt Ryan. He was my #2 pick #15 overall, and I wound up trading him low with Jordy Nelson for RGIII.
I underestimated the entire Falcons team and overvalued the niners team(I thought LaMichael James could be like Sproles...).
I have some other posts about players I talked up or down and they did the opposite, but my biggest mistake was drafting Fitzgerald(#18) over AP(#23). I thought AP would fall further, and I thought having a stud/consistent WR was more important than another RB that may get hurt. I never really tried to move Fitz because I kept thinking he'd bounce back. I was able to grab Leshoure off waivers and trade for Doug Martin(traded Romo after week 1, worked out pretty well for me
), but had I picked AP I could have traded Romo+another for maybe his AJ green or Brandon Marshall instead of Martin. That owner undervalued Peyton Manning after one week which is how I swung Romo for Martin. He's got the most points scored with all 3 of his RBs getting hurt(McFadden, Murray, Matthews), so perhaps my good WR theory is right, I just picked the wrong one.
Overvalued Spiller lol.