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Pre-NFL Draft thoughts

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Re: Pre-NFL Draft thoughts

Postby Zbetty » Tue Apr 16, 2013 1:59 pm

With most TEs I would agree with that logic, but with Graham your essentially getting another WR1 so his value is much higher in my book.
10 Team PPR predraft
QB- Aaron Rodgers
RB- CJ Spiller, Marshawn Lynch
WR- Jordy Nelson, Michael Crabtree
TE- Jimmy Graham
LB- James Laurinaitis
DL- Corey Liuget
DB- Harrison Smith
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Re: Pre-NFL Draft thoughts

Postby mycuccismells » Wed Apr 17, 2013 8:01 am

srlarson wrote:I don't get all the love for TE's....really in an 8 man league I do not see the advantage....there are to many decent ones.....

see if you can trade Rice, too good to get nothing for....but like the youth of T Rich and Morris more......

Or wild hair thought....what if you package Foster and Rice for AP? Could do with others.....or somone you like more.....rather than a draft pick...just a different angle.....but don't throw back valuable assets with nothing in return.....

The real value comes when you really look at him compared to other tight ends. Last year Gronk averaged 13 pts per game and Graham averaged close to 11. After that you have Tony G at 8.8, Heath Miller at 8.6 and then everyone else is below 8PPG, and once you get outside the top 8 you drop below 7PPG. Between 1-8 you have a 5PPG drop off, compared to WR you have Calvin at 14PPG and before you hit that 5pt drop off you have to go all the way down to the #25 WR. At QB you have Brees at #1 and have to go all the way to #11 Russell Wilson before you drop off >5 pts. At RB you hit it earlier because AP dominated but you get past him and #2-#17 are all within a 5 point range.

The point is that at the top of every position there are elite guys that should be reached for, but that is particularly true at a position like Tight end where the performance drops off in bigger chunks as you get down the rankings. Not only that but even though guys have a decent per game average, they dont give you any sort of consistency out of the top 5. There was only 1 game last year he didnt have 50 yards or a TD and only 1 game he would have had <10 pts in a PPR league. You compare that to a lot of those 3rd tier TEs (5-10 rank) and you see that they have 15-20 pt games followed by a lot of 2-3 pt games; ill take that consistency all day. The point of a first or second round pick is to have someone you can plug in every week barring injury and know you are getting production

As far as Foster and Rice for AP, im not sure that puts him in that much better of a position. Everyone expects AP to be better than Foster, but its not expected to be that big of an upgrade to make it worth giving up Rice. The thing is you have to find a balance between bettering your team and NOT giving the other team such a great deal that it offsets the advantage that you gained. You have to be careful about trying to get a marginal upgrade at the cost of making another team you are going against much better. If the team that has AP doesnt have great keepers then you just helped them really round out a great RB core. The best way is to approach getting 1.1 because that team obviously finished last in 2012 so if you are going to help anyone they are the team to help because they are the smallest threat
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