The main argument for the Graham/Gronk/Witten/Gonzalez types is that they are a huge step up from the rest of the TEs in the league. Getting one of them basically gives you WR1 production in a position where most tight ends give you WR3 type numbers. I usually don't go for Graham early, as Witten and Gonzalez are usually available in rounds 4 and 5, but thats just a personal preference as I feel there's better options available to you that early in the draft.
I would not take Graham that early. I think there are going to be some guys you can take later that you will not get much of a drop off for the value. I think Witten/Gonzo/Davis will all be better spent picks. If you think Gronk will come back off the PUP he is worth taking and stashing. He is head and shoulders above Graham when healthy. He was on pace for 1,100-1,200 yards and 16 TDs again last year. Plus factor in Brady has lost Welker, Lloyd, Hernandez, Woodhead. He will be looking often for that giant when he comes back.
I also think you will get decent play from a Finley or Cameron this year until he gets back. Cameron could be a steal. I can see him scoring double digit TDs while maybe not getting the yards that Graham and those guys get.
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I take Graham every time late 2nd but wouldn't pull the trigger early 2nd. A team that starts with Martin, Graham, Peyton looks pretty solid to me. But in the early second you won't be picking again and I'd rather roll with Gates (in the 8th) and Cameron/Thomas in the 10th-12th.
Where do you rank Graham among the WRs? My league doesn't start a TE, so he will be drafted as a WR. Is he part of the Top 6 WR tier, or is he in the next level of WRs? Would you take him ahead of Larry Fitzgerald?
I wouldn't do it. Too much TE depth to give up a pick that high. Just don't F-up your 2nd round pick if you don't take Graham.
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Stelly wrote:Where do you rank Graham among the WRs? My league doesn't start a TE, so he will be drafted as a WR. Is he part of the Top 6 WR tier, or is he in the next level of WRs? Would you take him ahead of Larry Fitzgerald?
Definitely part of the top 6 tier. I think he can can produce right on par with what we are expecting from Dez and AJ Green. I think he is the 4th best out of that tier you speak of (Dez, AJ, Calvin, Julio, DT and Marshall).