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Would Your Confidence Allow You Lay 20 To 1 Odds? Mine Did!!

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Would Your Confidence Allow You Lay 20 To 1 Odds? Mine Did!!

Postby METS 24 » Wed Sep 04, 2013 5:46 pm

For the 2013 season, I gave 20 to 1 odds that Group A will combine for more fantasy points than Group B.

Scoring
Receptions = 1 point
10 rushing yards = 1 point
Touchdowns = 6 points

Group A
(RB) Lamar Miller (MIA)
(WR) Greg Jennings (MIN)
(WR) Lance Moore (NO)

Group B
(RB) Marshawn Lynch (SEA)
(RB) Andre Brown (NYG) - Out Until At Least Week 10
(WR) Percy Harvin (SEA) - Out Until At Least Week 7

Barring any injuries to Group A, do you agree or disagree with the following 2 statements:

1 - I don't believe that Percy Harvin & Andre Brown can combine for more fantasy points in 16 weeks than Greg Jennings & Lance Moore can in a combined 32 weeks.

2 - I believe that Marshawn Lynch is limited from gaining major points since it is 1 full point per reception & he really isn't a receiving back.

Let's hear your thoughts.....
18 Teams
QB-Robert Griffin III
RB-Arian Foster
RB-Darren McFadden
WR-Roddy White
WR-Greg Jennings
FLEX-Lamar Miller
TE-Brent Celek
K-Greg Zuerlein
DST-Eagles

BENCH
QB-Terrelle Pryor
RB-Daniel Thomas
WR-Davone Bess
WR-Lance Moore
TE-Dallas Clark
METS 24
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Re: Would Your Confidence Allow You Lay 20 To 1 Odds? Mine D

Postby Besaid_Aurochs » Sun Sep 08, 2013 11:08 pm

20 to 1 is terrible odds for this - you got hustled man. 3 to 1 at the absolute max - hope it works out but damn
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Re: Would Your Confidence Allow You Lay 20 To 1 Odds? Mine D

Postby METS 24 » Wed Sep 11, 2013 7:54 pm

If I offered only 3 to 1 odds nobody in their right mind would take this bet. When something has a 99.9% chance of happening you have to inflate the odds so that the gambler does it just for the odds.

Who looks at the points situation below & thinks they are going to win?

Marshawn Lynch = 7.20 - ? - ? - ? - ? - ? - ? - ? - ? - ? - ? - 0.00 - ? - ? - ? - ? - ?
Andre Brown = 0.0 - 0.0 - 0.0 - 0.0 - 0.0 - 0.0 - 0.0 - 0.0 - 0.0 - 0.0 - ? - ? - ? - ? - ? - ? - ?
Percy Harvin = 0.0 - 0.0 - 0.0 - 0.0 - 0.0 - 0.0 - ? - ? - ? - ? - ? - 0.0 - ? - ? - ? - ? - ?
18 Teams
QB-Robert Griffin III
RB-Arian Foster
RB-Darren McFadden
WR-Roddy White
WR-Greg Jennings
FLEX-Lamar Miller
TE-Brent Celek
K-Greg Zuerlein
DST-Eagles

BENCH
QB-Terrelle Pryor
RB-Daniel Thomas
WR-Davone Bess
WR-Lance Moore
TE-Dallas Clark
METS 24
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Re: Would Your Confidence Allow You Lay 20 To 1 Odds? Mine D

Postby bigh0rt » Sun Sep 15, 2013 10:13 am

Youre not much of a gambler, for sure. -2000 is entirely too high and I wouldve gladly bet you that all day if you laid those odds. Of course chances are you'll win? But that's the entire point. You wagered entirely too much given your likelihood of winning.
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