i am not basing it on gut feeling alone (although what else do we really have to go on, a crystal ball?), but the fact that priest had to have surgery to repair a shattered hip. That is a much more serious injury than portis' ankle or LT2's nothing. But, hey, it's cool, if you draft before me, you'll get holmes and i'll get tomlinson. If i draft before you, it will be the same. So enough speculating already. Even looking into the past won't tell you much. Look at "Fragile" Freddie taylor. Nobody wanted him this year. He ended up being in the top ten in RB. Ricky Williams-guaranteed #1 RB for 03, wrong. That is what predictions are for, to be tested in the regular season. So, you can disagree, but you can't disprove, hopefully this will be the end of this discussion that i never should have started.