KingGhidra wrote:Given the fact that Gibbs likes to run the ball early and often, I couldn't see a healty Clinton Portis getting anything less than 330 carries with at LEAST a 4.0 average (4.5 is more likely).
330 carries on a 4.5 yds/carry average would give him 1485 rushing yards......which is significantly less
than what most people were expecting from him in Denver. I expect that most people would drop him at least a couple spots if they expected him to get less than 1500 yards rushing.
I also question his durability. If Gibbs tries to rush him 25+ times a game, I think he breaks down.....expect him to miss 2-4 games. If he gets that kind of workload his average will drop as well....right now he is sitting at 5.5 yds/carry, expect sub 4.5 under increased workload.
KingGhidra wrote:I can understand if someone wouldn't want to draft him in the #2 or #3 spot. But some of you are talking about putting him back there at #10 or #11 with Fred Taylor. That's just crazy.
Before the trade talks I had him at #4....behind LT, Priest, and Ahman. With the uncertainty that this trade brings, I think he drops behind Lewis, McAllister, and Alexander. Putting him in with Edge and Ricky somewhere between #7 and #9.
Of course everything
will change after he plays a couple preason games.....then I will know where to rank him a little better.