Azrael wrote:Dreadpaul wrote: For #11, Fred Taylor is expected to carry the ball more this year, so his yardage should improve.
I'm not sure where this idea comes from. I don't know how much more they expect him to carry the ball than 350 times. Especially now they have another Stacey Mack in Greg Jones who is going to steal his goalline carries.
You make a good point Azrael, so I did a little digging. With 345 carries in '03, Taylor was only exceeded by Ricky Williams (392), Jamal Lewis (387), Ahman Green (355) and Deuce McAllister (351). It would be difficult to increase # of carries substantially. At most, Taylor could be expected to increase his load by 3 carries/game to bring him up to the 390 level (approx 1800 yards if his '03 avg yards/carry holds).
My source for the Taylor expectations is Bart Hubbuch at The Sports Network who wrote...
Look for the Jaguars to use the Carolina blueprint on offense after watching the Panthers ride running back Stephen Davis to the Super Bowl last season. Jacksonville’s running game was abandoned a few too many times last season for coach Jack Del Rio’s liking. That appears likely to change this fall.
Fantasy Source spin: Taylor is coming off a career-best 1,572 rushing yards, and the Jaguars are eager to run the ball more after watching Byron Leftwich struggle with interceptions last season. The oft-injured Taylor now has played in 32 consecutive games, by far the longest stretch of his NFL career. (Bart Hubbuch for TSN)
After Azrael's comment, I checked Stephen Davis's stats and realized that he only had 318 carries for 1444 yards and 8TDs. Taylor, with is 345 carries, 1572 yards and 7TDs is already just as much a workhorse as Davis is... so Mr. Hubbuch's analysis seems somewhat flawed.