If you combine Mike Cloud, Antowain Smith, and Kevin Faulk's stats together, you end up with about 1,400 yds rushing and 8 TD's and 500 yds receiving and 5 TD's. Considering Dillon is probably going to get 90% of the workload and that he is way better than any of these guys, is he going too low in most mocks? By my experience, that has been late 2nd-early 3rd. I'm figuring him for a Stephen Davis type performance (of last year) this year. That being said...he's probably a steal where he's going. Don't you think?
Azrael
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I think he will be a steal if he goes late 2nd or 3rd round. The reason I say this is because he put decent #'s in the past years(last year not included) running behind the Bengals O-Line that wasn't that good. Now he graduates to running behind the Super Bowl Champions offensive line. I would take him in the 2nd round,and would be elated to see him in the 3rd round.
I have Dillon ranked right after Taylor and Faulk at #12. He still has something left in the tank, and his injury last year really wasnt him 'breaking down' but was b/c of the crappy field conditions in Cinci that everyone has complained about and many have been injured from.
He now isn't going to be the only offensive option like he had been for so many years on the Bengals. That means no more 8 man fronts throughout the game. If a team tries to stack the front, they are just going to get burned by all the 5'10 WRs on NE.
I think Faulk will come in on 3rd downs when its a passing situation, but that really shouldnt cut into Dillons totals seeing as many teams have some sort of change of pace back for 3rd downs. And as for Cobbs, I cant imagine taking out a guy like Dillon who is 6'1 and 225 pounds at the goalline.
Azrael wrote:If you combine Mike Cloud, Antowain Smith, and Kevin Faulk's stats together, you end up with about 1,400 yds rushing and 8 TD's and 500 yds receiving and 5 TD's. Considering Dillon is probably going to get 90% of the workload and that he is way better than any of these guys, is he going too low in most mocks? By my experience, that has been late 2nd-early 3rd. I'm figuring him for a Stephen Davis type performance (of last year) this year. That being said...he's probably a steal where he's going. Don't you think?
I think the S. Davis comparison is right on the money. New team, good situation, chip-on-shoulder, etc., although I think Corey will have even better #s in '04 than S.D. did last season.
"Life's battles don't always go to the stronger or faster man. But sooner or later, the man who wins is the man who thinks he can." - Vince Lombardi
One thing to remember - using NEs rushing stats from last yr probably isnt the best guide. I bet Billichek is going to tailor his offense to the weapons he has - just like coaches do every yr. Added a very good RB in Dillon - probably will give him a longer look when deciding on a play than he did with Cloud, Smith, or KFaulk.
Dillon is a very good RB, dont knock him because of a subpar yr on a bad team.
I think he will have a better yr than SDavis and Fraud Taylor.