Anonymous wrote:There are a lot of things I don't understand so far in this thread.
1.) How does anyone think Holmes isn't the #1 pick next year? KC has made no big changes. Barring injury, no one can beat his fantasy production. LT is the best RB but SD has not made any improvements to warrant higher expectations than what he did last year.
2.) Travis Henry. Some say he will lose his job and others are saying he will be top 10. He did very well in the games he played in last season, but RBBC would ruin his chances of ending up top 10 this year.
3.) How can people say E.James won't be top 10? He's in a similar situation to SA. Lots of weapons. Also remember that he is only 1 year older than LT and he did average 97 yds per game in the games he played in last year.
4.) Dillon top 10? NE wins because of it's defense. It's offense is nothing to brag about and Dillon was injured essentially all of last year. Dillon in NE is intriguing but he is a longshot to break the top 10.
5.) Everyone is high on Portis and Deuce this year. Portis is a huge question mark for me since he is the one changing scenery. I have no idea how he will do but that alone gives him a better chance than most to be a bust. Deuce did not produce TD's last year. Have the Saints made any changes that will help him out this year? If not, why will he do better?
There are probably more things to ask about but these five are probably more than enough for now.
Thanks for any opinions.
1. It is the injury scare that would drop him. Personally, I still have him #1, but those who drop him usually are concerned about his age and health. He did get diagnosed with a degenerative hip before last yr (if I recall correctly - please help if Im wrong), so it isnt like he's spotless. The same argument could be made of Marshall about 3-4 yrs ago.
2. No one knows for certain, but you nailed the issue. Very good RB with a #1 draft pick breathing down his neck. Henry could be a top 10 if given enough of the ball. Henry could be another RBBC waste if not. Your guess is as good as most anyone else's on this issue.
3. Again, its the injury history. Some also say he lost a step. Personally, I say he was huge during the 2nd half last yr, and I expect him to be a solid #9 or #10 with slight upside.
4. I agree. Top 10? I dont see it. A solid #2 - sure. He is a real interesting prospect this yr though - always had the talent - rarely had the team.
5A. I have warmed to Portis because of the Gibbs factor. I dont think he is as talented as his numbers from DEN indicate, but he will be in another good situation in WAS.
5B. TDs are an interesting stat - sometimes good players will just not get the ball over the goalline enough. Remember S. Davis in WAS 2 yrs ago? I dont have the stats in front of me, but what I remember was that the guy just couldnt find the endzone for the first 6-8 games of the yr, and there was really no explanation for it. I see Deuce as having a somewhat similar season last yr. His TD numbers were way down last yr, but I see that as an anomaly more than a trend.