FF Newbie wrote:The problem with what you just wrote isn't really the Moss pick. He's a fine pick at #9. The problem is that you're reaching for Dillon, Staley, and Jones too early. Dillon should go in the late-2nd, not early-2nd and Staley/Jones should go in the mid-5th, not the late-3rd/early-4th.
Nice observation. But I agree with Free Bagel's statement that it seems like everyone is assuming Moss is going to score 5 or 6 more TD's and have 300-400 yards more than everyone else. It's a good bet he'll be the best in the league again this year and he's not a bad pick at 9. I'm not arguing with that. Penciling in stats and drafting based solely on the prior year's performance is the key ingredient to failure. You can't argue with taking Moss at 9 though. And it's not the strategy that's in question. It's the assumed picks in the 2nd-4th round that was the problem.