I'm not nearly that high on him, but I do think Rod Smith can be had at a spot in the draft where he'll be quite a value. I'm quite happy with him as my #4 WR in my one league.
Bennett4Prez wrote:If Lelie doesn't come around, Rod Smith will be the only receiver getting any looks. And while that may result in many interceptions, those don't count against Rod Smith.
You're right, if Lelie doesn't pan out, Smith WILL be getting a lot of looks -- by defenses. We all expect the Broncos to groom a new value in running back (they've made Anderson, Portis, etc. big names in the past). Who will it be? Until the Broncos find a running game, I think Rod Smith will have his struggles. Plummer has been known in the past to try to shoulder too much responsibility, which leads to mistakes, interceptions, etc. With Portis gone, I can see The Snake try to take on that provider role, which worries me.
Again, until the Broncos can get a running game, which will alleviate Plummer's workload, I think the Broncos will have their struggles. Everyone is right in thinking that Smith will be a value in mid to late drafts, but don't expect him to be a top-tier receiver for the foreseeable future.
Bennett4Prez wrote:If Lelie doesn't come around, Rod Smith will be the only receiver getting any looks. And while that may result in many interceptions, those don't count against Rod Smith.
You're right, if Lelie doesn't pan out, Smith WILL be getting a lot of looks -- by defenses. We all expect the Broncos to groom a new value in running back (they've made Anderson, Portis, etc. big names in the past). Who will it be? Until the Broncos find a running game, I think Rod Smith will have his struggles. Plummer has been known in the past to try to shoulder too much responsibility, which leads to mistakes, interceptions, etc. With Portis gone, I can see The Snake try to take on that provider role, which worries me.
Again, until the Broncos can get a running game, which will alleviate Plummer's workload, I think the Broncos will have their struggles. Everyone is right in thinking that Smith will be a value in mid to late drafts, but don't expect him to be a top-tier receiver for the foreseeable future.
I think that's what Hearst was brought in for. He gives them a seasoned vet to use while they sort out the longterm situation. By no means am I saying their running game will be as effective as Portis was, but they should be able to get some balance out of it.
I think Hearst will do OK. However, there are still a lot of questions in the backfield in my opinion. While Hearst will get some carries, we all know that Tatum Bell and others will also get their share of the load. One of the reasons Denver has excelled in the past has been a consistent force out of the backfield. Having a number of different backs rotate into the mix can, at times, mess with chemistry, which leads to sticky situations. I've been a Plummer follower his whole career, and his great numbers at times last year were directly affected by having a bonafide runner in the backfield. The dropoff from Portis to Hearst/Bell is fairly significant, and I think Plummer will consider himself as the one who needs to help bridge the gap by doing more. He'll try to take the team onto his shoulders until another threat helps take some of the load -- and I've learned to be concerned when Plummer feels responsible to carry the offense. We'll see.
Barlow couldn't beat out Hearst and neither will Bell or Griffith.
That said, I believe that Rod Smith will be a good draft FF WR this year b/c of where you can get him in the draft. He will fall like a ton of bricks and then produce well. Draft him as your #4 WR and he will give you minimum #3 WR numbers and maybe #2 if Plummer and the Broncos can play well. They have a lot of talent there in Denver. IMO.
I completely agree that RS is underrated. If Lelie picks it up and the running game craps out they could be a lot like the Steelers of 2002 (light version).
But here are a few things to consider:
1) RS only 8 TDs the past 2 years
2) Jake only started 11 games last year
3) Broncos passing yards 2002 - 3824
Broncos passing yards 2003 - 2969 down almost 1,000 yds.
That being said - I look for a big bounce back from him this year and would take him at about the #20 wr spot, lower if I thought that he would fall.
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Im with the rest of you who think he's a great value pick in the mid rds. Draft him as your #4 - watch him perform like a #2 or 3. I do think RS will have a better yr than Lelie.
Warpigs wrote:I think Hearst will do OK. However, there are still a lot of questions in the backfield in my opinion. While Hearst will get some carries, we all know that Tatum Bell and others will also get their share of the load. One of the reasons Denver has excelled in the past has been a consistent force out of the backfield. Having a number of different backs rotate into the mix can, at times, mess with chemistry, which leads to sticky situations. I've been a Plummer follower his whole career, and his great numbers at times last year were directly affected by having a bonafide runner in the backfield. The dropoff from Portis to Hearst/Bell is fairly significant, and I think Plummer will consider himself as the one who needs to help bridge the gap by doing more. He'll try to take the team onto his shoulders until another threat helps take some of the load -- and I've learned to be concerned when Plummer feels responsible to carry the offense. We'll see.
I have to agree that I'm not totally sold on Plummer yet. This season will be his final exam.