9er Fan wrote:Hearst + Barlow for the past three years:
2003: 1792 rsh, 518 rec, 11 TDs
2002: 1647 rsh, 453 rec, 14 TDs
2001: 1718 rsh, 594 rec, 10 TDs
Except Barlow isn't Hearst when it comes to receiving.
Rattay/Dorsey are not mobile QBs like Garcia. RBs will get the vast majority of goal-line carries in 2004. Lets throw that out of the equation and assume the offense struggles and the SF running game performs 25% worse in 2004 than they have in the past. Averaging production for 2003-2001 and subtracting 25% (a huge dropoff) still yields:
2004: 1289 rsh, 391 rec, 9 TDs
And that would assume he got every carry, which happens about.... never.
I guess the point I'm trying to make is the following: Barlow will be THE RB for SF next year (barring injury)... How many NFL teams have one sure-fire go-to guy at RB? 10? How bad can Barlow be?
He could be TERRIBLE! I don't think he is, but he is gonna be largely yardage dependant since the multiple opportunities for rushing touchdowns won't exist. Since the majority of his yardage points will be rushing yards, any game the running game is shut down, his fantasy value is probably nil.
I haven't looked at the 49er schedule, how's it look?