by Indy Dragons » Wed Feb 12, 2003 12:52 pm
I might get a little technical in this post, and probably a little sideways, but try to stay with me!
Facts:
16 team league
~10 of top 15 scorers are D/STs
Question:
Do you take one early or not?
Answer:
No, but maybe YES.
Reasoning:
Here is an example:
1. D/ST - 400 points
2. QB - 390 points
3. RB - 380 points
4. D/ST - 370 points
5. D/ST - 360 points
6. D/ST - 350 points
7. D/ST - 340 points
8. D/ST - 330 points
9. QB - 320 points
10. RB - 310 points
11. D/ST - 300 points
12. D/ST - 290 points
13. D/ST - 280 points
14. TE - 270 points
15. D/ST - 260 points
16. RB - 250 points
17. D/ST - 240 points
18. D/ST - 230 points
19. QB - 220 points
20. RB - 210 points
21. D/ST - 200 points
22. D/ST - 190 points
23. D/ST - 180 points
24. RB - 170 points
25. D/ST - 160 points
The difference between the first and the 16th D/ST, in this example, is a whopping 240 points. But the difference in the first and 16th RB and/or QB is going to be much, much more. You have to go with the best value on the board at the time you draft. I never get the first D/ST, and if I miss the first run of them, then I wait a few extra rounds, to pick up my defense.
I would hardly ever draft a D/ST before the 10th round (1st half of the draft), because the gap in scoring from the 1st team to the 12th (in my leagues) are not usually that much, whereas in most of my leagues I must start two RBs, and two WRs - and the difference in the top ones to the 24th to 30th is incredible.
One thing I'll mention, that I tried to pick up between the lines of your post, that may impact this decision. It sounds like each team can draft as many D/STs as they want. Since you have 16 teams in the league and there are 32 teams in the NFL, I was thinking each team would be limited to two D/STs max. IF you can actually draft three or four D/STs, then a good strategy maybe to pick up a few 'good' D/STs early, then a few scrubs D/STs later. Let's say you have four D/STs on your team, that means at least three teams in your league only have one, if one of those teams have a pretty bad D/ST, you should be able to trade one of yours to them and get pretty good value out of them!