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If you could pick....

Postby Ccodyman » Tue Aug 17, 2004 12:46 am

Which spot in a 12 man draft would you pick. Ive been trying to figure this one out but any way I work it I dont feel right.
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Postby Teck » Tue Aug 17, 2004 12:50 am

I always like #3-5
case you can get a top tier back (Green, Alexander, Portis)
and pick up someone DECENT on the way back usually, becase some people will take a wr as second round. (D. Davis, R. Johnson)
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Postby hawksfan896 » Tue Aug 17, 2004 12:50 am

Lots of people like the last pick in the first round to get the turn picks (12 and 13), and lots like right in the middle, so they stay there every round. Personally, I say go #1, get Priest, smile politely and make sure you've done your homework cause it's gonna be awhile before you get another pick.
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Postby aussieboy » Tue Aug 17, 2004 12:58 am

3, 4, 5, 6......any of those and id be happy.
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Postby Rodge » Tue Aug 17, 2004 1:20 am

I don't have a certain strategy year after year, but this year I would like somewhere in the range of 3-5. I am targeting a rb and ideally I would like to pick either Ahman Green or Shaun Alexander.
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Postby PoonGod0 » Tue Aug 17, 2004 4:35 am

i like around the 4-6 range just to be in the middle...you pick up a great RB, then come back with an awesome WR, or a solid Back up RB.
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Postby Arlo » Tue Aug 17, 2004 6:37 am

It's a matter of taste; I always like the back-to-back picks the first or last slot give, simply because you can strongly influence the flow of the draft.

In theory, the earlier picks should have a slight advantage, but this is probably a very, very minor factor in any draft.
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Postby aussieboy » Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:00 am

Arlo wrote:It's a matter of taste; I always like the back-to-back picks the first or last slot give, simply because you can strongly influence the flow of the draft.

In theory, the earlier picks should have a slight advantage, but this is probably a very, very minor factor in any draft.


What do you mean strongly influence the flow? Can you give an example?
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Postby Arlo » Tue Aug 17, 2004 8:04 am

aussieboy wrote:
Arlo wrote:It's a matter of taste; I always like the back-to-back picks the first or last slot give, simply because you can strongly influence the flow of the draft.

In theory, the earlier picks should have a slight advantage, but this is probably a very, very minor factor in any draft.


What do you mean strongly influence the flow? Can you give an example?

Sure. Let's say that in your IDP league, everyone's holding off on grabbing defenders (as often happens). Then, with your back-to-back picks in rounds 6-7 (just as an example), you take the top two defenders off the board. With a bit of luck, you'll see a run on defenders in rounds 7-8, as other owners try to avoid being shut out of the defensive studs. Then, with your next pick, you can switch back to offense.

If that happens, you'll not only have an advantage on defense since you have the top two players, but you won't pay for it (significantly) on offense, since relatively few offensive players will have been chosen between your round seven and eight picks.

If you can get other owners to play catch-up like this, you can wind up with a huge draft advantage.
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Postby BrutallyHuge » Tue Aug 17, 2004 8:10 am

I would like the 3rd pick this year and grab Ahman. If Priest or LT falls, even better.
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