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Postby nsulham » Sun Sep 05, 2004 4:07 pm

Probably looking at a 4-team parlay, $20 bet (not much I know but it's the best I can do comfortably) wins me $313.

1. Titans +3 at Miami (I think the Titans should cover pretty handily.)

2. 38.5 under Titans/Dolphins (Both teams have nice defenses and Miami's offense should struggle. I can't see Tennesse putting up anything over 28 maximum so if they can hold Miami's offense to just 7, this should be a good bet)

3. Baltimore +3 at Cleveland (Baltimore's great D should shut down Garcia and the Browns offense)

4. KC +145 (I think KC will beat Denver so this looks like a pretty good call to me.)

What do you guys think? Any objections/suggestions? I'm using sportsbook.com, so if I make my picks during the week, the payout for a 4-teamer is 10/1. If I wait until Friday, though, they have a bonus where the payout goes to 13.5/1.

Should I get them in now while the lines are pretty favorable or wait until Friday and risk them moving?
Last edited by nsulham on Sun Sep 05, 2004 4:29 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Postby BGbootha » Sun Sep 05, 2004 4:23 pm

I am willing to bet that if you waited til friday that those would in fact change. Especially the Miami/Tennessee.

I like most of them the only one that I would be a little hesitant one is the under 38.5 tenn/miami. Mostly it is just my own personal hesitation toward taking any over under on week one. There are just too many unkowns. But if i had to pick one i would go under there.
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Postby Mookie4ever » Mon Sep 06, 2004 7:29 am

A 4 team parlay is like buying a lottery ticket. It is very hard to hit and is 90% luck. I do them once in a while if I have a very strong feeling about a combo, but I usually avoid them.

I really like the Titans/Fins under and will bet that one myself. I put in an earlier thread that I think that I will take the Fins under for their first 3-4 games until people realize how bad their offence is.

I also like the Ravens but they are -3 and not +3. The line has actually moved to -3 1/2. The Titans are also -3 (now -3 1/2) and not +3 on the road.

I don't know about picking two road teams to cover in a 4 play parlay, pretty risky.
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Postby nsulham » Mon Sep 06, 2004 9:04 am

Mookie4ever wrote:A 4 team parlay is like buying a lottery ticket. It is very hard to hit and is 90% luck. I do them once in a while if I have a very strong feeling about a combo, but I usually avoid them.

I really like the Titans/Fins under and will bet that one myself. I put in an earlier thread that I think that I will take the Fins under for their first 3-4 games until people realize how bad their offence is.

I also like the Ravens but they are -3 and not +3. The line has actually moved to -3 1/2. The Titans are also -3 (now -3 1/2) and not +3 on the road.

I don't know about picking two road teams to cover in a 4 play parlay, pretty risky.


My bad, I meant -3 for both. Haven't punched my ticket yet so I'm still checking it out.
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Postby nsulham » Mon Sep 06, 2004 9:28 am

And yes, a 4-team parlay is chancy but I'm a big-hitter, I can't help it. I like knowing that if I hit it, I'm going to hit it big.
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Postby Tyr » Mon Sep 06, 2004 9:52 am

I really like 3 and 4 team parlays as well.. especially when you have a few easy games on the line.

Parlays on line bets are great.. especially when it comes to sure-fire wins like Philly and Tenn and Balti. They're only dangerous if you have to bet on spreads, imo.
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Postby Mookie4ever » Mon Sep 06, 2004 9:55 am

nsulham wrote:And yes, a 4-team parlay is chancy but I'm a big-hitter, I can't help it. I like knowing that if I hit it, I'm going to hit it big.


That's why they call it gambling ;-D
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Postby nsulham » Mon Sep 06, 2004 10:00 am

Mookie4ever wrote:
nsulham wrote:And yes, a 4-team parlay is chancy but I'm a big-hitter, I can't help it. I like knowing that if I hit it, I'm going to hit it big.


That's why they call it gambling ;-D


Truer words were never spoken my friend ;-D
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Postby Mercer Boy » Mon Sep 06, 2004 11:41 am

I have never won a parlay. I did three team ones in Vegas quite a few times, and I would get 2 right about 75% of the time. I would mix up the parts of my parlay to try and get some more money out of it. I'd always put a super-favorite on, some funny over/under, and a slight underdog which would balance out the favorite a little bit. Maybe that's why I never won them!

If you don't mind the money, they are fun to do; but they are dang hard to win!
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Postby CC » Mon Sep 06, 2004 11:47 am

I play a lot of parlays on ProLine and usually win my 2 and 3 team parlay. We won the 4 team parlay twice last year, but never won anything bigger than that.
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