Fantasy Football Cafe Forum

by **Free Bagel** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:32 pm

The problem w/ Hector and Victor is that they predict pretty much EVERY sleeper AND good player to have at least 100yds and a TD. And, as we all know, that's never how it works out.

Seriously every single week I looked at their predictions for my team they had more total pts combined then they ever added up to. For instance, even in the week where H & V's predictions gave my guys the LOWEST total score of the year, it was higher than the total score of my BEST week in reallity.

by **Cornbread Maxwell** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:36 pm

BrutallyHuge wrote:Great pick of Jamal Lewis at #1 last week.

That's the most obvious pick that it surely would not have come to fruition. If a guy puts up 500 on you in two games, do you not think the other team will spend the whole offseason working on the D gameplan for week 1 against him?

And they thought he was going to set another record. Geez.

Also - absolutely no mention of BAL losing the best Olineman in the NFL. Didnt they think that might have an impact?

by **Cornbread Maxwell** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:41 pm

ran a little worksheet covering their top 20 picks.
since they didnt differentiate between rush/rec and pass TDs, neither did I:

50passyds=1
20rushorrecyds=1
TDs=6

Statistically, they were off by a little over 9.5 fantasy points per pick. 8-o

Id say thats not great projecting, but then again, there isnt really a standard to base that off of. Maybe being off by 9.5 is actually way ahead of the curve.

Anyone else want to post some statistical projections of last week's players from other sources so we can get some comparisons?

by **Free Bagel** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:51 pm

9.5 is a ton in that scoring system. With the 50/20 yds per point the scores are pretty low, so to scale 9.5 is alot more.

I shudder to think what it'd be in a 25/10 league..

by **jabe_rt** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 2:03 pm

Yeah but it was the 1st week don't forget!! I don't think they did too bad considering...

by **Cornbread Maxwell** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 2:10 pm

Free Bagel wrote:9.5 is a ton in that scoring system. With the 50/20 yds per point the scores are pretty low, so to scale 9.5 is alot more.

I shudder to think what it'd be in a 25/10 league..

11.32 overall.

5.74 per QB which is equal to roughly 125-150 yd difference or 1 TD off.

4.63 per RB which is equal to about 50 rush yds or a little less than 1 TD off

They only ranked 1 WR in the top 20.