Finally: a question where I can pull an Obi-Wan and say, " Use the Force! Trust your instincts!"
Seriously, though: part of the fun of this game is playing hunches. Otherwise, you could just use a weekly ranking and set your team on auto-pilot. It's not as if your hunch is baseless, either: having a healthy Fred Taylor around makes Brunell's life a lot easier.
Personally, I'd go with Garcia, I but think you should follow your instincts here. Good luck!