it's no hoax.
Direct link to the NWS Tropical Prediction Center.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/index.shtml
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphic ... 2248.shtml?
It is unusual, but not unheard of for a tropical system to ride up into the desert SW. Most of the weather people in Phoenix are not true meteorologists, and are asleep at the wheel.
Believe me, you will be hearing about this real soon....
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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
258 PM MST FRI SEP 17 2004
AZZ021>024-026>028-181100-
GREATER PHOENIX AREA-NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-
NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY-SOUTHERN GILA/TONTO NF FOOTHILLS-
SOUTHWEST DESERTS-SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY-WEST CENTRAL DESERTS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...APACHE JUNCTION...AVONDALE...BUCKEYE...
CASA GRANDE...CASHION...CHANDLER...CIRCLE CITY...COOLIDGE...
EL MIRAGE...FLORENCE...FLORENCE JUNCTION...FOUNTAIN HILLS...
GILA BEND...GILBERT...GLENDALE...GLOBE...GOODYEAR...GUADALUPE...
LAVEEN...MESA...NEW RIVER...PARADISE VALLEY...PEORIA...PHOENIX...
ROOSEVELT...SCOTTSDALE...SUN CITY...SUN CITY WEST...SUN LAKES...
SUPERIOR...SURPRISE...TEMPE...TOLLESON...TONOPAH...WADDELL...
WICKENBURG...WITTMANN AND YOUNGTOWN
258 PM MST FRI SEP 17 2004
...TROPICAL MOISTURE WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN THIS
WEEKEND...
A CHANGE TOWARD WET WEATHER IS EXPECTED SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WITH A
CHANCE FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. THE COMBINATION OF A COLD FRONT
MOVING THROUGH THE WESTERN STATES...AND THE ENTRAINMENT OF
SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE FROM HURRICANE JAVIER...WILL RESULT IN AN
INCREASING CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
ACROSS SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ARIZONA.
THE ENTRAINMENT OF TROPICAL MOISTURE AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT IS AN
UNUSUAL WEATHER EVENT...AND THOSE CONCERNED SHOULD CONTINUE TO
MONITOR WEATHER FORECASTS IN CASE WEATHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...OR
ADVISORIES ARE NEEDED.
PERSONS WITH OUTDOOR INTERESTS THIS WEEKEND...INCLUDING BOATERS...
CAMPERS AND HIKERS...SHOULD BE AWARE OF THE UPCOMING CHANGE AND THE
POSSIBILITY OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER STATEMENTS REGARDING THIS
WEATHER CHANGE.