Cornbread Maxwell wrote:Both Ks and Ds are very important, high scoring aspects of your fantasy teams. THAT DOES NOT MEAN THEY CARRY MUCH VALUE.
Playing matchups on D is key, and I disagree that a lot of it comes down to luck. There are really only 2 teams I would play pretty consistantly every week: NE and BAL. Thats it. The rest I would play matchups on a week by week basis. Therefore, almost all Ds are similar in value other than the top 2.
Remember - how much a certain position scores compared to other positions does not determine their fantasy value. This concept is absolutely important to understand.
We know, it is a matter of how much a certain player in a given position scores in comparison to other players at that same position....
And I am all about picking some defenses and playing them from week to week, as you well know...
What I meant by luck is that a lot of determining which team will be the high scorer on a given week is based on luck... We can narrow it down to several most likely options, like this week:
Miami, Pittsburgh, Seattle, Atlanta, Oakland, Tennessee
But who's to say that Sean Taylor doesn't end up with 2 picks returned for TD's on Monday Night Football, and all of a sudden Washington was the stud play of the week? I mean, with other positions, we can be reasonably certain that James Thrash is not going to outscore Keyshawn Johnson in that game (although stranger things have happened), but there is really no telling which D will end up scoring higher and by how much... It could really go either way, and the same could be said of ANY other NFL game... When it comes to a position that is that heavily dependent on turnover scoring, it really does come down to how the ball bounces sometimes...
The only really true indicator that we can go off of is a comparison of offensive lines and defensive lines to help determine sacks and overall points scored... IMO, defensive matchups are as much a matter of picking the best line matchups as anything else...